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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio Texas
559 PM CST Thursday Feb 11 2016

Aviation...
mainly VFR skies are expected through the taf periods. Sustained
wind speeds are expected to remain below 12 knots despite a cold
front moving into the area Friday morning. Only a brief period of
patchy fog and low clouds are expected to push into parts of the
San Antonio metropolitan area at daybreak...but parts of the coastal
prairies and Rio Grande plains could see the fog last longer and
lift into a low cloud deck for a few hours in the late morning.
All skies should be mostly clear again by around 17z.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 252 PM CST Thursday Feb 11 2016/

Short term (tonight through Friday night)...
latest visible and infrared satellite images are depicting few
high level clouds along a cold front boundary over central Texas.
The weak cold front will slowly push to the south overnight into
Friday morning. Recent weather guidance are in good agreement with
the passage of this cold front overnight across south central
Texas (northern hill country). Patchy fog is possible across the
coastal plains counties overnight into Friday morning ahead of the
cold front. No rain chances expected with the frontal boundary.
Overnight lows will drop into the 40s across The Hill Country to
the lower 50s across the coastal plains.

Expect mostly sunny to sunny skies across the area Friday.
Daytime temperatures will be 2 to 5 degrees cooler than todays
ranging from the middle 70s along Interstate 35 to lower 80s along
the Rio Grande. Northeast to east winds of 5 to 10 miles per hour are
expected through the period. Overnight lows will be cooler late
Friday/Saturday morning across the area as a shallow cooler
airmass spreads across the region in the wake of the cold front.

Long term (saturday through thursday)...
with a cooler airmass in place...saturdays high temperatures are
expected to reach the upper 60s across the northeast and middle 70s
across the Rio Grande and southwest counties. These temperatures
are more aligned with climate normals to this time of the year.
Several upper level disturbances in combination with a short wave
trough are forecast to push across the area late Saturday into
Monday. At the surface...a weak cold front is anticipated to move
across the area Monday. With this scenario in place...the eastern
half of south central Texas will be favored for light drizzle and
light rain on Sunday and Monday. Rainfall accumulations are
expected to be limited to one tenth of an inch or less as
precipitable water values are expected to be slightly above the
median moving average (0.81 inches Sunday February 14 and Monday
February 15).

Dry and warmer weather conditions return Tuesday and prevail
through Thursday of next week.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Austin Camp Mabry 51 77 47 68 51 / 0 0 0 0 10
Austin Bergstrom international Airport 43 76 44 68 50 / 0 0 0 0 10
New Braunfels Muni Airport 46 78 45 70 51 / 0 0 0 0 10
Burnet Muni Airport 46 74 44 66 50 / 0 0 0 0 10
del Rio International Airport 45 83 49 75 54 / 0 0 0 0 -
Georgetown Muni Airport 46 74 43 67 50 / 0 0 0 0 10
Hondo Muni Airport 41 82 44 73 51 / 0 0 0 0 10
San Marcos Muni Airport 44 76 45 69 50 / 0 0 0 0 10
La Grange - Fayette regional 52 77 48 68 50 / 0 0 0 - 10
San Antonio International Airport 47 79 47 69 52 / 0 0 0 0 10
Stinson Muni Airport 46 80 48 72 52 / 0 0 0 0 10

&&

Ewx watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

Mesoscale/aviation...Oaks
synoptic/grids...24
public service/data collection...33

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