Area forecast discussion National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio Texas 301 PM CDT Wednesday may 22 2013 Short term (tonight through Thursday night)... middle to upper level pattern is progressing as previously anticipated with trough moving to the Mississippi Valley and a ridge moving across nm. This will continue through the short term period with the ridge becoming dominant. At the surface high pressure is centered over the central Gulf of Mexico and the low level winds are becoming southeasterly. This will bring Gulf moisture back to the region quickly. This will be a dry pattern with warming temperatures. && Long term (friday through wednesday)... there will not be much change in the long term forecast. The middle to upper level ridge will remain in place through the weekend and early next week. Models show a short wave trough moving through ridge Friday which will mean a slight chance for thunderstorms developing over the Mexican mountains and moving into our western area. Have included a small area of slight chance probability of precipitation Friday and Friday night. Otherwise...there are no chances for rain until the last period of the forecast when an upper level trough moves into western Texas bringing a chance for thunderstorms next Wednesday. && Preliminary point temps/pops... Austin Camp Mabry 70 95 71 94 72 / 0 0 10 10 10 Austin Bergstrom international Airport 69 93 71 93 71 / 0 0 10 10 10 New Braunfels Muni Airport 69 95 70 94 71 / 0 0 10 10 10 Burnet Muni Airport 68 93 69 91 70 / 0 0 10 10 10 del Rio International Airport 75 99 74 96 76 / 0 0 10 20 20 Georgetown Muni Airport 69 92 70 91 70 / 0 0 10 10 10 Hondo Muni Airport 71 97 72 96 73 / 0 0 10 10 10 San Marcos Muni Airport 70 92 71 91 72 / 0 0 10 10 10 La Grange - Fayette regional 73 92 74 93 74 / 0 0 10 10 10 San Antonio International Airport 72 95 72 94 73 / 0 0 10 10 10 Stinson Muni Airport 71 94 72 94 73 / 0 0 - 10 10 && Ewx watches/warnings/advisories... none. && $$ Mesoscale/aviation...24 synoptic/grids...05 public service/data collection...32