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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio Texas
330 am CST Monday Nov 24 2014

Short term (today through tuesday)...
a cold front moved across south central Texas last evening. In
its wake...colder and below average temperatures can be expected.
An upper level trough will move across Texas today with another on
Tuesday. The Tuesday trough will be a little deeper and upward
motion ahead of it will generate some clouds and possibly some
high level virga. An earlier run of the NAM even generated some
quantitative precipitation forecast. However...lower levels will be too dry for any precipitation
to reach the ground.

&&

Long term (tuesday night through sunday)...
a northwesterly flow middle week turns westerly by next weekend. The
main impact will be a return to southerly flow with increasing
moisture and a warming trend back to above average temperatures by
Thanksgiving weekend as a surface trough develops over the plains.
Moisture may deepen enough that isolated light rain showers are
possible on Sunday. The next front may be a brief incursion next
Sunday night into early Monday along with a weak upper level
trough that may generate weak isentropic lift for light rain. For
now...have only gone with 10 probability of precipitation and no mention of precipitation
due to uncertainty and will wait for consistency in model runs.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Austin Camp Mabry 64 40 64 39 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
Austin Bergstrom international Airport 64 36 64 34 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
New Braunfels Muni Airport 65 40 65 37 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
Burnet Muni Airport 61 37 61 35 68 / 0 0 0 0 0
del Rio International Airport 65 39 63 36 69 / 0 0 0 0 0
Georgetown Muni Airport 64 37 63 36 68 / 0 0 0 0 0
Hondo Muni Airport 64 37 64 33 69 / 0 0 0 0 0
San Marcos Muni Airport 64 38 64 36 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
La Grange - Fayette regional 65 40 64 38 69 / 0 - - 0 0
San Antonio International Airport 65 42 65 39 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
Stinson Muni Airport 65 41 65 37 71 / 0 0 0 0 0

&&

Ewx watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

Mesoscale/aviation...10
synoptic/grids...04

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