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AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
654 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015

.AVIATION.../00Z TAF CYCLE/

VFR PREVAIL THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MID TO LATE 
EVENING. HOWEVER...EXPECT MVFR CIGS TO DEVELOP SIMILAR TO LAST NIGHT 
FOR CENTRAL TAF SITES 06-08Z. CIGS WILL LIKELY FALL FURTHER TO IFR 
10-14Z FOR THESE SITES PLUS KDRT GIVEN NAM BUFR SOUNDING OUTPUT. 
SURFACE WINDS OUT OF THE S/SE NEAR 10-15 KT THIS EVENING WILL CALM 
TO LESS THAN 10 KT AND THEN PICK BACK UP SATURDAY 10-15 KT. INITIAL 
LOW CLOUDS SATURDAY WILL MIX OUT MID TO LATE MORNING TO VFR. 
ISOLATED SHRA AND SOME TSRA COULD BE NEAR CENTRAL SITES 19-00Z. WILL 
CONTINUE TO MONITOR TRENDS IF VCSH/TS NEEDS TO BE MENTIONED 
DIRECTLY IN TAFS. 

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 237 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2015/ 

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT)...
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND MAYBE ONE THUNDERSTORM WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE
FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE...THE TYPICAL SUMMER PATTERN OF WARM...HUMID...
AND MOSTLY CLOUDY NIGHTS...FOLLOWED BY PARTLY CLOUDY AND HOT
DAYS...WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. THERE WILL BE 
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WHERE PW IS HIGHEST ACROSS THE
COASTAL PLAINS BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AFTERNOONS. 

LONG TERM (SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)...
THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND
FLATTEN OUT A BIT NEXT WEEK. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED NEXT WEEK OTHER
THAN LOW POPS IN VAL VERDE COUNTY ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO
PROXIMITY TO THE UPSTREAM LONGWAVE TROUGH OVER THE SOUTHWEST U.S..
BOTH HIGH AND LOW TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE TO NEAR OR SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL VALUES FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...BUT NO EXCESSIVE HEAT
IS EXPECTED. LONGER RANGE PROJECTIONS OF THE MJO INDICATE MOST OF
JULY MAY REMAIN DRY ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AUSTIN CAMP MABRY              75  92  76  93  76 /   0  10  -   10   0 
AUSTIN BERGSTROM INTL AIRPORT  74  91  75  92  76 /   0  10  -   10   0 
NEW BRAUNFELS MUNI AIRPORT     73  91  74  92  75 /   0  10  10  10  -  
BURNET MUNI AIRPORT            73  91  74  91  74 /   0  10   0  10   0 
DEL RIO INTL AIRPORT           75  93  76  95  77 /  10  10  10  10   0 
GEORGETOWN MUNI AIRPORT        74  92  75  92  76 /   0  10   0  10   0 
HONDO MUNI AIRPORT             73  91  75  93  75 /  -   10  10  10  -  
SAN MARCOS MUNI AIRPORT        74  91  75  92  75 /   0  10  10  10  -  
LA GRANGE - FAYETTE REGIONAL   75  91  75  92  77 /   0  20  -   20   0 
SAN ANTONIO INTL AIRPORT       75  92  76  92  76 /  -   10  10  10  -  
STINSON MUNI AIRPORT           75  92  76  92  76 /  -   10  10  10   0 

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

MESOSCALE/AVIATION...ALLEN
SYNOPTIC/GRIDS...09

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