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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio Texas
316 am CDT Monday Oct 20 2014

Short term (today through tuesday)...no major changes to the
forecast or thinking over the short term. Upper level low is
centered just south of Arizona early this morning...across
northeast Sonora Mexico. Deeper moisture axis continues to reside
from south Texas up the Rio Grande into West Texas. Models
continue to be in agreement for isolated to scattered probability of precipitation across
the western County Warning Area for today. The upper level low will open and lift
northeast tonight and Tuesday...with slightly drier air working
into central areas of the County Warning Area...and the moisture axis being nudged
slightly west from where it is today. Only isolated probability of precipitation forecast
across the western County Warning Area Tuesday.

&&

Long term (tuesday night through sunday)...models have come into
better agreement with respect to the upper level pattern towards
the middle and latter half of the week. Appears the more progressive
solution is winning out. The 00z runs of the European model (ecmwf)/CMC are no
longer showing an upper level low cutting off over Texas Thursday
and Friday...and now show a weaker upper level trough sliding
through the region Thursday and Thursday night. The GFS is even
weaker and more progressive with the trough. Moisture appears
rather limited...and for now will continue with a dry forecast
Wednesday through Friday. Upper level ridging builds across the
region over the weekend with the dry forecast continuing.
Generally seasonal morning lows and warm afternoon highs through
the 7 day forecast.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Austin Camp Mabry 83 62 83 61 84 / - - - - -
Austin Bergstrom international Airport 83 57 83 55 84 / - - - - -
New Braunfels Muni Airport 85 60 86 57 86 / - - - - -
Burnet Muni Airport 82 59 82 58 82 / - - - - -
del Rio International Airport 80 66 83 65 84 / 30 20 30 10 10
Georgetown Muni Airport 82 59 83 59 83 / - - - - -
Hondo Muni Airport 85 58 85 53 86 / 10 10 10 10 -
San Marcos Muni Airport 84 58 84 56 85 / - - - - -
La Grange - Fayette regional 83 60 84 58 84 / - - - - 10
San Antonio International Airport 86 64 86 61 87 / 10 10 - - -
Stinson Muni Airport 86 62 86 58 87 / 10 10 10 - -

&&

Ewx watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

Mesoscale/aviation...05
synoptic/grids...76

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