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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio Texas
555 am CDT Friday Oct 24 2014

Aviation...
VFR flying conditions prevail today through Saturday morning with
sky clear to few035-060. Surface high pressure ridge over our area will
keep winds less than 10 kts. East to southeast winds prevail at kdrt. Variable
winds this morning...then becoming S to southeast this afternoon through
Saturday morning at the I-35 taf sites.

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 346 am CDT Friday Oct 24 2014/

Short term (today through saturday)...
early morning surface observations show temperatures generally in
the middle 50s to middle 60s and light winds across south central Texas.
We could see some patchy fog develop across portions of The Hill
Country and southern Edwards Plateau this morning and we have gone
ahead and included a mention of fog through 10 am. Otherwise...
another day of above normal temperatures can be expected as a
subtropical ridge axis builds in from the west. The subtropical ridge
axis remains the dominant weather feature on Saturday and high
temperatures will again rise to above normal levels. At this
time... it does not look like any records will be broken today...but
we could get very close to record territory along the I-35 corridor
on Saturday.

Long term (saturday night through thursday)...
the above mentioned subtropical ridge axis will shift southward on
Sunday as westerly flow aloft increases over the High Plains. The
weakening ridge will still be strong enough to continue the above
normal temperatures and dry weather through early next week. We do
expect a weak upper trough to move into the southern U.S. Plains
on Tuesday and this could bring a few showers and thunderstorms to
areas generally east of a Kerrville to San Antonio to Karnes City
line late Tuesday and Wednesday. A weak cold front may ease into
our far northern areas (llano and Burnet counties) Tuesday
night...but the front will be rather weak. The operational models
begin to diverge late in the forecast period...with the European model (ecmwf)
showing another upper trough and cold front late Thursday vs. The
GFS model and it/S upper ridge. For now...we/ll keep the forecast
dry with temperatures above normal.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Austin Camp Mabry 87 63 90 62 87 / 0 0 0 0 0
Austin Bergstrom international Airport 86 58 89 56 87 / 0 0 0 0 0
New Braunfels Muni Airport 87 61 90 59 88 / 0 0 0 0 0
Burnet Muni Airport 85 61 87 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 0
del Rio International Airport 85 62 87 60 85 / 0 0 0 0 0
Georgetown Muni Airport 85 61 88 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 0
Hondo Muni Airport 86 57 89 54 88 / 0 0 0 0 0
San Marcos Muni Airport 87 60 89 58 87 / 0 0 0 0 0
La Grange - Fayette regional 85 60 87 60 86 / 0 0 0 0 0
San Antonio International Airport 87 64 89 62 87 / 0 0 0 0 0
Stinson Muni Airport 87 62 89 60 88 / 0 0 0 0 0

&&

Ewx watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

Mesoscale/aviation...04
synoptic/grids...24

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