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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio Texas
251 am CST sun Jan 25 2015

Short term (today through monday)...
a weak cold front will pass through the area today...but not much
change other than breezy and slightly drier air as weak high
pressure builds in behind the front. A little bit more sunshine
will result in a few degrees higher temperatures on Monday.

&&

Long term (monday night through saturday)...
a longwave ridge will stay in place through mid-week...allowing
for a slow warming trend and temperatures well above normal
Tuesday and Wednesday. The ridge begins to breakdown on
Thursday...and when combined with moist return Gulf flow...will
increase humidity and cloudcover. The medium range models are
having a difficult time with the development/progression of a
cutoff low initially over Baja California California. Even ensemble forecasts
are not of great assistance with cutoff lows...showing quite a
spread...that may not even cover the actual evolution. Another
issue will be phasing of this low with a deep longwave trough
expected to develop over the Great Lakes and middle-Mississippi
Valley...which would impact the amount of near-surface cold air
and any potential for winter precipitation next Sunday/Monday.
Given the uncertainty...the best bet is to stick with a steady
trend toward the most likely sensible weather to result.
Specifically...that will be for cloudy skies...scattered
showers... light to moderate quantitative precipitation forecast...and a swing to below normal
temperatures. As far as planning GOES...outdoor activities are
best completed by Thursday this next week to avoid rain/cold.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Austin Camp Mabry 68 43 71 47 75 / 0 0 0 0 0
Austin Bergstrom international Airport 69 40 71 44 74 / 0 0 0 0 0
New Braunfels Muni Airport 70 41 71 45 75 / 0 0 0 0 0
Burnet Muni Airport 66 40 70 43 73 / 0 0 0 0 0
del Rio International Airport 69 40 72 43 75 / 0 0 0 0 0
Georgetown Muni Airport 67 41 71 44 74 / 0 0 0 0 0
Hondo Muni Airport 71 38 73 41 75 / 0 0 0 0 0
San Marcos Muni Airport 68 41 70 45 74 / 0 0 0 0 0
La Grange - Fayette regional 68 42 68 46 73 / 0 0 0 0 0
San Antonio International Airport 69 43 73 46 75 / 0 0 0 0 0
Stinson Muni Airport 70 42 73 44 75 / 0 0 0 0 0

&&

Ewx watches/warnings/advisories...
none.
&&

$$

Mesoscale/aviation...18
synoptic/grids...26

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