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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service El Paso Texas/Santa Teresa nm
246 PM MST Tuesday Feb 9 2016

Synopsis...
sunny...dry...and warm weather will continue into at least the
first part of next week. High temperatures will run well above
normal with lower and middle 70s common in the desert lowlands...
with 50s in the Sacramento Mountains. Wind will remain light and
variable through the period.

&&

Discussion...
water vapor imagery shows a sharp upper level ridge extending from
Southern California into Idaho with a broad longwave trough carved
out over the Midwest and northeastern states. This ridge will
Delaware-amplify as it slowly shifts to the east over the next few days.
The result for US...continued sunny and dry weather with
temperatures continuing to slowly climb above normal. The 70s will
be a common theme (hopefully just with maximum temps) through this
week and into the next. High temperatures will be right around 70 for El
Paso tomorrow...then slowly climbing into the middle-70s by the
weekend.

Normals (elp) are around 62-63...and while we will be well above
that...records are not likely to fall. Most of the days ahead have
records in the lower-80s...with 79 on both Feb 12 and 13th.

A very weak trough sliding down the ridge will bring some passing
high clouds on Wednesday night...with some thicker high clouds
possible over the weekend.

Winds will be light and rather variable through the next week.

&&

Aviation...valid 10/00z-11/00z...
p6sm sky clear through period with lt east to southeast winds under 10kts.



&&

Fire weather...
a ridge of high pressure will dominate our weather through the
end of the week. Dry and warmer than normal conditions will
remain in place under mostly clear skies. High level clouds will
be on the increase over the weekend but wetting precipitation will not
be an issue. While min relative humidity values will fall to critical levels each
afternoon winds will remain light across the region. Vent rates
will continue to suffer due to low afternoon mixing heights and
weak transport wind speeds.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
El Paso 32 70 37 72 / 0 0 0 0
Sierra Blanca 31 69 33 69 / 0 0 0 0
Las Cruces 28 68 29 72 / 0 0 0 0
Alamogordo 30 69 32 70 / 0 0 0 0
Cloudcroft 25 50 30 52 / 0 0 0 0
Truth or Consequences 32 69 35 71 / 0 0 0 0
Silver City 30 67 33 68 / 0 0 0 0
Deming 28 69 26 73 / 0 0 0 0
Lordsburg 27 70 29 72 / 0 0 0 0
west El Paso metropolitan 35 70 38 72 / 0 0 0 0
Dell City 27 71 28 70 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Hancock 32 71 33 71 / 0 0 0 0
Loma Linda 35 68 36 69 / 0 0 0 0
Fabens 29 70 31 71 / 0 0 0 0
Santa Teresa 29 69 31 72 / 0 0 0 0
White Sands hq 35 70 36 72 / 0 0 0 0
Jornada range 23 69 25 72 / 0 0 0 0
Hatch 27 70 29 73 / 0 0 0 0
Columbus 30 68 28 71 / 0 0 0 0
Orogrande 36 69 36 71 / 0 0 0 0
Mayhill 33 65 37 65 / 0 0 0 0
Mescalero 27 60 30 63 / 0 0 0 0
Timberon 33 60 37 62 / 0 0 0 0
Winston 30 66 34 69 / 0 0 0 0
Hillsboro 31 70 34 72 / 0 0 0 0
spaceport 29 70 29 72 / 0 0 0 0
Lake Roberts 18 67 22 70 / 0 0 0 0
Hurley 29 67 28 70 / 0 0 0 0
cliff 21 69 21 71 / 0 0 0 0
Mule Creek 17 71 21 73 / 0 0 0 0
Faywood 31 68 32 72 / 0 0 0 0
Animas 27 72 31 75 / 0 0 0 0
Hachita 26 71 28 74 / 0 0 0 0
Antelope Wells 26 69 30 73 / 0 0 0 0
Cloverdale 28 70 34 75 / 0 0 0 0

&&

Epz watches/warnings/advisories...
nm...none.
Texas...none.
&&

$$

25-hardiman / 27-jla

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