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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service El Paso Texas/Santa Teresa nm
306 am MST Wednesday Nov 26 2014

Synopsis...
an upper ridge building in from the West Coast will bring a
warming trend with above normal temperatures in place by
Thanksgiving day. Mild and dry weather will persist through the
weekend and into early next week. Then a Pacific storm will move
inland and bring a slight chance of showers to the area during the
middle of next week.

&&

Discussion...
northwest flow over the area is weakening as the West Coast upper
ridge builds eastward. This ridge will control our weather through
Friday and send our temperatures 8 to 10 degrees above normal. We
should return to normal or slightly above today...with a weak
trough within the ridge keeping the warming gradual the next 2
days. Even so Thanksgiving day will be downright pleasant. Another
jump in temperatures Friday will allow some of The Lowlands to threaten
the 70 degree mark. The ridge then breaks down but west to
southwest flow will keep those temperatures mild into early next week. No
complaints here.

A Pacific trough will attempt to move eastward across the
Borderland Tuesday night and Wednesday...with the GFS still
bringing showers over the area though the 00z run backed off a
little. The 00z ecm dampens the trough out and maintains some
degree of ridging over the southwest. GFS...cooler and showery
with low level easterlies by midweek. Ecm...mild and mainly dry
during the same period. Will stick with GFS for now.

&&

Aviation...valid 26/12z-27/12z... p6sm sky clear-few250 through period. Winds
mainly lt and variable all terminals.

&&

Fire weather...
temperatures will gradually start warming up over the remainder of
the week as a broad ridge sets up over the western Continental U.S.. minimum
relative humidities will generally be in the 20s through Friday and
then starting to fall into the teens for the weekend as high
temperatures warm above normal. Winds will generally be light
through the forecast period with little to no chance for
precipitation.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
El Paso 59 35 64 38 66 / 0 0 0 0 0
Sierra Blanca 56 32 60 34 64 / 0 0 0 0 0
Las Cruces 57 32 61 33 63 / 0 0 0 0 0
Alamogordo 57 33 61 35 64 / 0 0 0 0 0
Cloudcroft 41 26 49 30 52 / 0 0 0 0 0
Truth or Consequences 57 33 60 34 64 / 0 0 0 0 0
Silver City 53 33 58 35 60 / 0 0 0 0 0
Deming 58 30 62 31 65 / 0 0 0 0 0
Lordsburg 59 29 64 31 66 / 0 0 0 0 0
west El Paso metropolitan 57 37 62 39 64 / 0 0 0 0 0
Dell City 60 31 64 33 67 / 0 0 0 0 0
Fort Hancock 61 34 65 34 69 / 0 0 0 0 0
Loma Linda 51 36 56 39 58 / 0 0 0 0 0
Fabens 60 32 65 34 67 / 0 0 0 0 0
Santa Teresa 57 33 61 34 63 / 0 0 0 0 0
White Sands hq 56 36 61 38 64 / 0 0 0 0 0
Jornada range 57 24 61 25 64 / 0 0 0 0 0
Hatch 58 27 63 27 65 / 0 0 0 0 0
Columbus 57 33 61 33 65 / 0 0 0 0 0
Orogrande 56 34 61 37 64 / 0 0 0 0 0
Mayhill 51 29 55 33 60 / 0 0 0 0 0
Mescalero 48 28 54 30 57 / 0 0 0 0 0
Timberon 48 28 53 31 57 / 0 0 0 0 0
Winston 53 30 56 30 59 / 0 0 0 0 0
Hillsboro 54 35 58 37 61 / 0 0 0 0 0
spaceport 58 29 62 32 64 / 0 0 0 0 0
Lake Roberts 55 28 58 30 60 / 0 0 0 0 0
Hurley 54 31 59 33 61 / 0 0 0 0 0
cliff 57 20 60 22 66 / 0 0 0 0 0
Mule Creek 55 17 59 19 62 / 0 0 0 0 0
Faywood 54 34 58 35 61 / 0 0 0 0 0
Animas 60 31 65 31 67 / 0 0 0 0 0
Hachita 59 29 64 28 67 / 0 0 0 0 0
Antelope Wells 60 30 64 31 67 / 0 0 0 0 0
Cloverdale 58 32 61 33 64 / 0 0 0 0 0

&&

Epz watches/warnings/advisories...
nm...none.
Texas...none.
&&

$$

01 fausett

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