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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service El Paso Texas/Santa Teresa nm
302 am MDT Friday Mar 27 2015

Synopsis...
a large area of high pressure over the western part of the country
will result in warm and dry weather across the area through
Sunday. Temperatures will near or a few degrees above normal today
with near record highs possible during the weekend. A low pressure
system will move across the area on Monday through early Tuesday
with a slight chance of rain showers and a few thunderstorms
possible. Dry and warm conditions will return to the area for the
remainder of next week.

&&

Discussion...
a quiet weather pattern will occur over state for the next few
days as a large area of high pressure aloft will remain in place
over the southwest part of the country through Sunday. Dry and
stable conditions will result in sunny skies with winds becoming
more westerly as the weekend progresses. Temperatures will rebound
to near or slightly above normal this afternoon with middle to upper
70s possible across The Lowlands. Temperatures will be much warmer
Saturday and Sunday with near record highs in the afternoon.
Lowland temperature values will be in the middle to upper 80s for
many areas. Winds will be lightly breezy in the afternoon.

There will be increasing cloudiness by Sunday afternoon as the high
pressure ridge begins to weaken and a upper level low approaches
the area. The system is not all that strong but it will be
bringing a more moist and unstable air mass with it that will
result in at least a slight chance of rain showers for the area
Monday through early Tuesday. A few brief isolated thunderstorms
will also be possible with a potential for small hail and stronger
wind gusts. Rain amounts will be generally light and spotty from
this system.

Dry conditions will return by Tuesday afternoon with a zonal
westerly flow setting up over the region. This pattern will keep
conditions dry with above normal temperatures continuing. Winds
will be breezy to windy each afternoon from Tuesday afternoon
through the end of next week. Periods of variable high clouds will
also occur as pockets of high level Pacific moisture stream over
the area.

&&

Aviation...valid 27/12z-28/12z...
strong high pressure aloft will result in VFR conditions through
the valid period. Few- sct150 until 15z...sky clear afterwards. Variable
winds will become westerly at 5 to 10 knots after 18z...diminishing
to light and variable after 03z.

&&

Fire weather...
high pressure aloft will maintain warm and dry conditions through
Sunday. Temperatures will rise to a few degrees above normal today
and then rise to near record levels Saturday and Sunday. Winds
will be westerly in the afternoon but will remain well below
critical thresholds. Another upper low pressure system is
forecast to move into southern New Mexico and far West Texas in
the Monday through early Tuesday time frame bringing a slight
chance for rain and brief isolated thunderstorms. The min relative humidity
field will run from 17% to 27% across all areas drying to about
5% to 10% all locations during the weekend.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
El Paso 79 50 88 55 87 / 0 0 0 0 0
Sierra Blanca 75 46 83 49 83 / 0 0 0 0 0
Las Cruces 78 44 86 46 84 / 0 0 0 0 0
Alamogordo 77 44 84 47 83 / 0 0 0 0 0
Cloudcroft 59 38 65 41 64 / 0 0 0 0 0
Truth or Consequences 78 46 83 48 82 / 0 0 0 0 0
Silver City 73 43 76 43 75 / 0 0 0 0 0
Deming 79 42 86 44 84 / 0 0 0 0 0
Lordsburg 79 43 84 44 83 / 0 0 0 0 0
west El Paso metropolitan 78 51 87 54 86 / 0 0 0 0 0
Dell City 80 44 87 47 87 / 0 0 0 0 0
Fort Hancock 80 47 88 51 88 / 0 0 0 0 0
Loma Linda 73 48 80 52 79 / 0 0 0 0 0
Fabens 79 47 88 52 87 / 0 0 0 0 0
Santa Teresa 78 47 85 48 85 / 0 0 0 0 0
White Sands hq 77 48 83 51 83 / 0 0 0 0 0
Jornada range 78 40 86 42 83 / 0 0 0 0 0
Hatch 79 43 86 46 84 / 0 0 0 0 0
Columbus 77 45 84 47 83 / 0 0 0 0 0
Orogrande 76 47 83 50 83 / 0 0 0 0 0
Mayhill 68 42 73 46 73 / 0 0 0 0 0
Mescalero 66 39 72 42 71 / 0 0 0 0 0
Timberon 65 40 71 44 71 / 0 0 0 0 0
Winston 72 40 77 41 75 / 0 0 0 0 0
Hillsboro 76 45 81 46 80 / 0 0 0 0 0
spaceport 78 42 84 44 83 / 0 0 0 0 0
Lake Roberts 72 39 76 40 74 / 0 0 0 0 0
Hurley 75 42 79 44 78 / 0 0 0 0 0
cliff 79 41 83 41 81 / 0 0 0 0 0
Mule Creek 78 35 81 35 80 / 0 0 0 0 0
Faywood 74 44 80 45 78 / 0 0 0 0 0
Animas 80 44 85 46 83 / 0 0 0 0 0
Hachita 79 42 85 44 84 / 0 0 0 0 0
Antelope Wells 80 41 86 44 83 / 0 0 0 0 0
Cloverdale 78 43 82 45 80 / 0 0 0 0 0

&&

Epz watches/warnings/advisories...
nm...none.
Texas...none.
&&

$$

04 lundeen

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