Scientific Forecaster Discussion

Return to Local Conditions & Forecast

Without Abbreviations
With Abbreviations

Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
621 am CDT Mon Jul 28 2014

Discussion...
issued at 320 am CDT Monday Jul 28 2014

Northwest flow will continue to dominate this week's weather across
the forecast area, resulting in below normal temperatures and mainly
dry conditions through the foreseeable future. A shortwave trough
will bring showers and storms to portions of southern Kansas, far
southwest Missouri, and much of Oklahoma on Wednesday, but is
expected to remain south of the County Warning Area. Another weak shortwave trough
could brush northern Missouri on Friday night or early Saturday, but
any precipitation associated with it should be light and focused
mainly northeast of the area. High temperatures will be mainly in
the lower to mid 80s through the period, with lows in the upper 50s
to lower 60s.

Most models indicate that the persistent upper low over the Great
Lakes region will translate northeastward and allow ridging to build
eastward across the plains by next Monday, but the strength of said
ridge may be moderated by another Pacific trough. For now, have
stuck with continued below normal temperatures even through the
beginning of next week.

&&

Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Tuesday morning)
issued at 621 am CDT Monday Jul 28 2014

VFR conditions are expected to persist through the forecast period.
Isolated to scattered cumulus with bases around 3-4 kft will develop
by late morning, and should linger through sunset. Winds will remain
out of the north northwest, at speeds generally around or less than
10 kts.

&&

Eax watches/warnings/advisories...
Kansas...none.
MO...none.
&&

$$

Discussion...Laflin
aviation...Laflin

National Weather Service Glossary of Abbreviations