Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
250 PM CDT Wed Jul 30 2014
issued at 214 PM CDT Wednesday Jul 30 2014
Not a lot going on for this fcst issuance as the incredibly
pleasant temperatures continue. Other than a few light showers
clipping southern Linn County this afternoon, the County Warning Area should remain
dry through much of the fcst period as northwest flow persists
associated with a deep low pressure over the lower Hudson Bay region.
The low will very slowly lift north allowing for rising heights and
warmer temperatures by the end of the weekend and into early next
As the current ridge of high pressure over the western Continental U.S. Builds
east we should see temps return back to close to normal by Monday
with increasing humidity. The warm temps will not last too long as a
trough amplifies across the northern plains while the ridge
retrogrades west, allowing for a cold front to move through the County Warning Area.
At this time the GFS and ec depict increasing precip chances
beginning very late Tuesday but more so Wednesday afternoon and evening
associated with the cold frontal passage. Beyond the fcst period the
trough should continue to impact the County Warning Area with several days of below
normal temperatures to finish out next week. We shall see...
Aviation...(for the 18z tafs through 18z Thursday afternoon)
issued at 1215 PM CDT Wednesday Jul 30 2014
VFR conditions are expected through the period along with light
winds. A storm system to our southwest is producing the current mid-
level cloud deck. The deck will slowly move off to the south and east
this afternoon and tonight.