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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
455 am CST Thu Mar 5 2015

Discussion...
issued at 342 am CST Thursday Mar 5 2015

This forecast period will feature dry conditions and one last cold
day before we bring on Spring-like temperatures. Early this morning,
high pressure is building into the area from the northwest. This is
allowing skies to clear, wind to become light and, consequently,
temperatures to plummet. Lows this morning will start out in the
single digits to mid teens. High pressure will remain over the area
most of today and temperatures are not expected to rebound much as
mixing will be weak. Expect highs to be in the 20s to lower 30s
which is nearly 20 degrees below normal.

Tonight, the much anticipated warm-up will begin as high pressure
shifts east of the area and southerly flow begins to increase
overnight and into Friday. Good mixing on Friday will allow
temperatures to return to near normal with highs in the mid 40s to
mid 50s. Southwesterly flow will continue into Saturday out ahead of
an approaching cold front. 850mb temperatures will also rise to
4c-6c which will yield highs in the 50s area-wide. A weak cold front
will pass through the area Saturday night but the passage will be
dry. Sunday, winds will quickly return to the southwest and highs
will again be in the 50s.

The first half of next week continues to look mild as height rises
on Monday suggest that temperatures will future rise to the mid 50s
to near 60. Tuesday and Wednesday look to further continue the
warming trend as flow aloft becomes zonal and models depict
southwest flow at the surface. By Wednesday 850mb temperatures range
between 9c-13c which will yield highs in the 60s with some areas
even approaching 70 degrees. This would complete the full 180 in
temperatures, starting the period nearly 20 degrees below normal and
ending it nearly 20 degrees above normal!

&&

Aviation...(for the 12z tafs through 12z Friday morning)
issued at 455 am CST Thursday Mar 5 2015

VFR conds will prevail thru the pd as clr skies will be the rule
thru tonight when just a few high cirrus is expected. Winds will be
light as they gradually veer from the north to the south-southeast through this
morning and early afternoon. Winds this afternoon will pick up to
5-10kts from the south-southeast before veering to the S tonight and increasing
to 10-15kts.

&&

Eax watches/warnings/advisories...
Kansas...none.
MO...none.
&&

$$

Discussion...73
aviation...73

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