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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Duluth Minnesota
326 am CDT Tuesday Oct 13 2015

Short term...(today through wednesday)
issued at 325 am CDT Tuesday Oct 13 2015

At 325 am...skies were mostly cloudy across the Northland. There
was some clearing across Western Lake Superior...but inland
locations continued to see considerable cloud cover. Temperatures
generally ranged from the middle to upper 30s north to the lower to
middle 40s south. Gusty northwest winds continued...but had
decreased quite a bit overnight.

The main focus for today will be cloud cover and chances of
precipitation. We have seen some spotty lingering showers and
especially some patchy drizzle this morning. Will continue to
mention a chance of showers...mainly for eastern portions of the
County Warning Area. Will also mention patchy drizzle for the entire County Warning Area through
middle morning. As is often the case in these situations...the clouds
will probably linger longer than first expected. As a result...
skies should remain mostly cloudy for at least the eastern half of
the County Warning Area...with clouds decreasing from west to east by this
evening. High temperatures will be limited by cloud cover...with
40s in the east and 50s in the south and west.

Skies should break up considerably tonight...with clear to partly
cloudy skies becoming the rule. Overnight lows should range from
the lower to middle 30s for most areas.

Temperatures should warm a bit on Wednesday with a good deal of
sunshine...with highs ranging from the lower to middle 60s south
to the middle 50s north.

Long term...(wednesday night through monday)
issued at 325 am CDT Tuesday Oct 13 2015

A cold trough of low pressure will drop in from the north late Wednesday
night and during the day Thursday and produce scattered rain showers
through Friday morning. The air mass will be cold enough to mix in a
few snow flakes at time across the tip of The Arrowhead and across
inland portions of north-central WI late Thursday night and Friday morning.
Precipitation amounts will be limited to less than a tenth of an
inch. High pressure builds in across the northern plains on Friday and
shifts to the east on Saturday...and into the Great Lakes on Sunday.
This area of high pressure will keep weather conditions quiet
through the weekend. The next trough/cold front moves in from the
west on Monday with light rain showers possible.

Temperatures will start off on the cool side with highs in the upper
40s to middle 50s and overnight lows in the 30s. A re-enforcing shot of
colder air will move in from the north Friday and Saturday and drop
highs into the 40s and lows in the 20s and 30s. The coldest period
will likely be Friday night/Sat morning where widespread lower to middle
20s are expected. High temperatures will rise back into the 50s on
Sunday with night time lows in the 30s and 40s.


Aviation...(for the 06z tafs through 06z Tuesday night) issued
at 325 am CDT Tuesday Oct 13 2015

MVFR with isolated IFR will continue through middle day with
gusty surface winds. Will see an improvement to VFR from west to east
after 22z. Patches of -dz/br are also possible until 12z. The gusty
winds will diminish near sunset.


Preliminary point temps/pops...
dlh 50 38 58 36 / 10 0 0 0
inl 50 35 56 34 / 10 0 0 10
brd 57 38 63 37 / 0 0 0 10
hyr 51 36 62 35 / 0 0 0 0
asx 51 31 62 35 / 10 0 0 0


Dlh watches/warnings/advisories...
Ls...Small Craft Advisory until 4 PM CDT this afternoon for lsz121-



Short term...dap
long term...tentinger

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