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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Corpus Christi Texas
347 PM CST Thursday Nov 27 2014

Short term (tonight through Friday night)...generally quiet and
warmer weather through Friday night with some patchy fog inland
areas late tonight and early Friday. Will have little if any fog
Friday night given good boundary layer flow. Warmer by 5-7 degrees
on Friday with generally a nice day for black Friday shopping.
Models are bringing moisture back Friday and Friday night with
onshore flow...but upper level pattern is not conducive for any
rainfall and isentropic pattern shows high condensation pressure
deficits...so think rain chances are very low (10 or less Friday and
Friday night). Should have partly cloudy/mostly sunny skies on
Friday...with more clouds Friday night. Not much else to add.

&&

Marine (tonight through Friday night)...weak to moderate onshore
flow tonight increases to moderate levels Friday night. Winds
increase Friday night to just below scec levels (that is what is
being forecast). Could not rule out isolated and very light
rain/drizzle/showers Friday night but will not mention.

&&

Long term (saturday through thursday)...concur with the GFS/European model (ecmwf)
which continue to forecast a quasi-zonal upper pattern which will
contribute to increasing onshore flow over the County Warning Area/msa (again in
response to surface trough over the Southern Plains due to quasi-zonal upper
flow) and associated increase in lower level moisture (again GFS
deterministic soundings.) GFS deterministic output continue to
depict precipitable water values near normal Sunday and sufficient for at least
isolated shower activity over portions of the coastal Bend/msa Sunday.
The GFS/European model (ecmwf) remain generally consistent with the movement of a
cold front into southern Texas Monday afternoon. Continue to expect at least
isolated convection Monday along the front owing in part to moisture
convergence. Continue to expect at least scec onshore flow over the
coastal waters late Friday through Sunday. Uncertainty regarding the
solution Wednesday/Thursday.

&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Corpus Christi 53 76 60 77 65 / 0 10 10 10 10
Victoria 48 73 57 77 63 / 0 10 10 10 10
Laredo 53 78 53 81 59 / 0 0 0 0 10
Alice 50 78 57 79 63 / 0 10 10 10 10
Rockport 55 73 62 73 66 / 10 10 10 10 10
Cotulla 46 76 52 81 59 / 0 0 0 0 10
Kingsville 53 77 57 79 64 / 0 10 10 10 10
Navy corpus 58 73 62 75 68 / 10 10 10 10 10

&&

Crp watches/warnings/advisories...
Texas...none.
GM...none.

&&

$$

Gw/86...short term
wc/87...long term

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