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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Corpus Christi Texas
1246 PM CDT Wednesday Oct 1 2014

Discussion...updated for 18z aviation.

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Aviation...mainly VFR conditions this afternoon...with tempo MVFR
possible overnight. Some question on how light winds will get
tonight to impact fog development. Leaning toward a bit more
wind...but have added fog into ali/vct tafs. If winds decrease
more than expected...could see visible reductions more than currently
indicated.

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Previous discussion... /issued 629 am CDT Wednesday Oct 1 2014/

Discussion...updated for 12z aviation.

Aviation...while conditions seem to have momentarily improved at
kali...satellite imagery suggests than there are still areas of
dense fog near the terminal. Have made the prevailing Mode during
the predawn period VFR with vcfg and tempo conditions of dense
fog. Believe that Victoria will begin to break out of their fog
around 14z. Lrd is still experiencing VFR conditions...but I believe
that there is still a chance of MVFR ceilings developing...ditto for
crp. Either way VFR should prevail after day break. Tomorrow am
expecting an low level jet to develop. Lapse rates should be favorable for
enough downward mixing to preclude a major wind shear threat and
keep winds high enough at the surface to preclude much fog. Still
may see some lower ceilings though.

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Preliminary point temps/pops...
Corpus Christi 78 95 75 86 66 / 10 20 50 40 10
Victoria 76 94 72 84 59 / 10 20 60 20 10
Laredo 77 97 77 87 64 / 10 10 50 40 10
Alice 76 95 75 86 64 / 10 20 50 40 10
Rockport 79 89 75 84 67 / 20 20 50 40 10
Cotulla 75 95 72 85 59 / 10 10 40 20 10
Kingsville 77 95 76 86 65 / 10 20 40 40 10
Navy corpus 79 89 78 84 70 / 20 20 40 40 10

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Crp watches/warnings/advisories...
Texas...none.
GM...none.

&&

$$

Pz/83...aviation

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