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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Billings Montana
829 PM MDT Monday Oct 12 2015


No updates planned for the evening package. Forecast is in great
shape. Clouds that have been lingering over Billings for the past
few hours should clear out overnight...cooling things down across
southeastern Montana. Singer


Short term...valid for Tuesday and Wednesday...

Very little in the way of changes for the short term period
through Wednesday. Models remain in good agreement...with mild...dry...and
breezy weather expected through Wednesday...with ridging aloft.

Generally dry northwest flow will persist over the region through
Wednesday. Mainly clear skies and dry airmass will allow daytime
highs to climb well above average...into the 70s. Overnight lows
will fall into 40s each night over the next few days. Did cool
forecast lows slightly through the forecast do to persistent dry
conditions and light winds overnight supporting excellent
radiational cooling potential.

Fire danger will remain elevated through the short term dry and breezy conditions persist each afternoon. That
said...winds will not be as strong...nor last long enough to
warrant issuance of red flag warnings...but could none-the-less
exacerbate fires that exist or start over the next few days. Aag

Long term...valid for Thursday...Fri...Sat...sun...Mon...

Ridging over the Pacific northwest keeps surface high pressure
over eastern Montana/Wyoming and the western Dakotas Thursday
and Friday with the pattern shifting on Saturday. Ridge moves
over the area Saturday bringing warming temperatures before the
ridge moves east of the area creating a weak southwest flow aloft
which entrains subtropical moisture into the area.

Wednesday and Thursday cool and dry with weaker mixing over the
area with near normal temperatures with temperatures heading above
normal for Saturday and Sunday. Biggest question is how wet can
the pattern become on Monday with forcing looking limited but with
high precipitable waters. Expect shower activity and looks like
rain for almost everywhere except highest elevations. Borsum


Expect mostly clear skies with diminishing winds this evening
and relatively light winds overnight. Borsum


Preliminary point temp/pops...

Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Sat sun Monday
bil 044/074 044/071 043/058 036/059 038/068 044/073 048/065
00/b 00/u 11/b 00/u 00/u 01/b 23/west
lvm 041/077 041/072 040/060 035/064 037/071 043/069 044/062
00/north 00/u 01/b 00/u 00/u 02/west 33/west
hdn 041/075 042/072 043/060 037/062 038/070 042/075 044/066
00/b 00/u 01/b 00/u 00/u 01/b 13/west
mls 039/072 043/070 043/057 034/059 038/067 042/073 046/065
00/u 00/u 00/u 00/u 00/b 00/u 12/west
4bq 039/073 042/071 042/057 034/060 037/068 043/075 046/065
00/u 00/u 00/b 00/u 00/b 00/b 12/b
bhk 038/069 039/067 041/055 033/056 036/062 041/072 045/063
00/u 00/u 00/u 00/u 00/b 00/u 12/b
shr 040/076 040/072 041/057 034/062 037/071 042/075 043/064
00/u 00/b 01/b 00/u 00/u 11/b 13/west


Byz watches/warnings/advisories...



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