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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder Colorado
701 PM MST sun Feb 7 2016

issued at 701 PM MST sun Feb 7 2016

Clouds will decrease through the night as drier air moves into
the area. Winds have decreased a little and will continue to weak
overnight as the pressure gradient slackens. Current forecast on
track and the only updates planned are to tweak sky coverage and
temperatures toward current trends.


Short term...(this evening through monday)
issued at 203 PM MST sun Feb 7 2016

The batch of lower clouds associated with the jet maximum are
still over the northeastern plains. There is also a mountain wave
set-up with lenticular clouds over the mountains...foothills and
immediate plains. The western half of the plains have an upslope
wind fields in place...with northwesterlies over the eastern half
of the plains. Models have strong north-northwesterly flow aloft
for County Warning Area tonight and Monday. Downward qg-vertical velocity is
prognosticated for the County Warning Area tonight and Monday. The boundary layer winds
are prognosticated to be north-northwesterly over most of the plains
tonight and Monday. Normal diurnal patterns should prevail over
the rest of the County Warning Area. There is some moisture on the cross section
the next two period...but nothing significant. No probability of precipitation for most
areas...some minor probability of precipitation this evening in the high mountains. For
temperatures...readings should come up 2-5c from today's highs.

Long term...(monday night through sunday)
issued at 203 PM MST sun Feb 7 2016

Upper level high pressure building over the Rocky Mountain region
will bring dry weather and warmer temperatures to north central and
northeastern Colorado Monday night through Saturday. Wednesday looks
to be the warmest day of the week east of the mountains. 700 mb
temperatures around +5 degrees c combined with downslope flow should
result in temperatures climbing into the 60s along the Front Range
urban corridor. Temperatures on Thursday will cool down a few a weak upper level disturbance moving over the
northern rockies pushes a weak cool front across northeastern
Colorado. Temperatures should warm back to near 60 by the end of
the work week. A cooling trend along with a few mountain snow
showers will be possible by next the upper ridge
breaks down and an upper level trough of low pressure moves into
Colorado from the west.


Aviation...(for the 00z tafs through 00z Monday evening)
issued at 701 PM MST sun Feb 7 2016

There are scattered clouds at 4000 to 6000 feet over the eastern
plains. These clouds will decrease as the airmass dries. Few to
scattered high clouds will continue tonight and Monday. East to
southeast winds will turn southerly around 06z. Light winds are
expected to prevail Monday in the Denver area with northwest winds
over the eastern plains.


Bou watches/warnings/advisories...


short term...rjk
long term...Kalina

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