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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Birmingham Alabama
256 PM CDT Friday Aug 29 2014

Discussion...

Only some minor modifications made to the ongoing forecast.
Moisture increasing from the south along with a shortwave from the
west will significantly increase rain chances for Saturday. The
best axis of moisture and lift will be across the western half of
the County Warning Area but everyone has an above average chance of seeing some
rainfall...at least for part of the day. Best timing for any
widespread rainfall will come in the afternoon hours with much of
the lift pulling out by Saturday evening.

Scattered showers and storms possible on Sunday and then a drier
pattern sets in again for the weekend. At this point...only
expecting isolated to low chance diurnally initiated convection
Monday through Friday. Highs will be in the 90s each day with
mainly 70s for lows.

88

&&

Aviation...
18z taf discussion.

Actually have some weather to discuss in this round of tafs. We
are seeing the increase in moisture across the south...with
showers/storms developing along the Gulf Coast. This activity will
continue to slide north and west. May see an effective warm front
lift through the after between 12 and 18z tomorrow...with
scattered storms along the front. Included thunderstorms in the vicinity for toi...mgm and
tcl after 13 to 15z to account for this this. Better rain chances
after 18z at all sites. With the increase in moisture some limited
MVFR visible may develop at toi and mgm overnight so included this as
well. Look for decreasing conditions throughout the weekend.

16



&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Gadsden 69 89 70 90 69 / 20 60 40 40 30
Anniston 70 90 72 90 71 / 20 60 30 30 20
Birmingham 74 89 73 91 74 / 20 70 40 40 20
Tuscaloosa 74 91 73 91 72 / 20 70 50 40 20
Calera 73 89 73 91 72 / 20 70 40 30 20
Auburn 71 91 72 91 73 / 20 50 30 20 10
Montgomery 74 93 74 94 74 / 20 60 30 30 10
Troy 72 93 72 93 72 / 20 50 30 20 10

&&

Bmx watches/warnings/advisories...
none.

&&

$$

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