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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Birmingham Alabama
301 PM CDT Sat Sep 20 2014

Discussion...

Easterly flow has been a little bit of a trouble maker as the low
clouds have been stubborn to burn off in the east. With that said
though the overall forecast is on track and only looking at a few
changes over the next 5 to 7 days.

A fairly dry cold...but potent...front will work into the north as
early as 4 PM Sunday afternoon. Thinking the majority of the rain
associated with the front will be across the north from 7pm until
midnight. After the daytime heating loss...showers will become
more isolated and may even dissipate totally by sunrise Monday.
Will continue with isolated chances of rain Monday morning in the
south as the models seem to underdone in the rain chances along
the front. With the potency of the front...it should clear the
area much quicker than the previous front and allow for a
potential cool down for midweek.

A return to easterly flow should bring mentionable rain chances
back into the area Friday and Saturday...particularly in the
afternoon.

16

&&

Aviation...
18z taf discussion.

Morning stratus deck is finally mixing out in the east/southeast.
Expect VFR conditions to prevail through the period. Easterly winds
of 5-10 kts will become calm overnight. Fog development looks
unlikely due to dry conditions.

Note...the National Weather Service will begin issuing seasonal
terminal forecasts for the Talladega Municipal Airport (kasn) in
Talladega...Alabama. The forecast will begin October 5th at 00z
and last through at least the 23rd of October.

19



&&

Preliminary point temps/pops...
Gadsden 61 86 59 79 54 / 0 20 30 10 0
Anniston 63 86 62 79 55 / 0 10 30 20 0
Birmingham 64 88 62 80 56 / 0 10 30 20 0
Tuscaloosa 65 90 63 83 56 / 0 10 20 20 0
Calera 64 88 63 82 57 / 0 10 20 20 0
Auburn 64 88 66 84 59 / 0 10 20 20 10
Montgomery 66 90 67 87 59 / 0 10 20 20 10
Troy 65 89 65 87 60 / 0 10 10 20 10

&&

Bmx watches/warnings/advisories...
none.

&&

$$

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