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Area forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Birmingham Alabama
643 am CDT Wednesday Oct 22 2014

Update...
for 12z aviation.

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Discussion...

Its another dry day in the neighborhood with highs in the upper
60s to low 70s. We will see another shortwave slide through bring
a cold front through on Friday before the upper level ridge
builds in for the rest of the weekend and first of next week.

In other news...Tropical Depression Nine developed in the Bay of
Campeche earlier this evening and is expected to become a
tropical storm later today or tonight as the storm moves east. With
the large trough in place over the eastern Continental U.S. The system has no
chance on making it anywhere near central Alabama.

By Saturday an upper level ridge will build in from the west and
continue to keep central Alabama dry through the weekend and into
the first of next week. We could see a cold front with a slight
chance at some rain Wednesday...but confidence is low that we
would see any beneficial rain through the end of the month.

16

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Aviation...
12z taf discussion.

Some brief fog at anb this morning...otherwise VFR conditions through
the day. Persistent high pressure will keep skies clear and winds
out of the north at 5-10 kts.

Note...the National Weather Service will continue issuing seasonal
terminal forecasts for the Talladega Municipal Airport (kasn) in
Talladega...Alabama through the 23rd of October.

19

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Fire weather...

Relative humidity values will be in the low 30s over the next couple of days.
Good news will be that the winds will drop on Thursday so red
flag criteria should not be met. Otherwise dry through the
weekend.

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Preliminary point temps/pops...
Gadsden 68 39 70 41 72 / 0 0 0 0 0
Anniston 68 41 70 43 72 / 0 0 0 0 0
Birmingham 69 45 71 45 74 / 0 0 0 0 0
Tuscaloosa 71 43 74 44 76 / 0 0 0 0 0
Calera 69 44 71 45 74 / 0 0 0 0 0
Auburn 70 46 71 46 73 / 0 0 0 0 0
Montgomery 74 44 75 45 76 / 0 0 0 0 0
Troy 73 41 74 44 75 / 0 0 0 0 0

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Bmx watches/warnings/advisories...
none.

&&

$$

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