Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion...updated
National Weather Service Amarillo Texas
1146 am CST Friday Dec 13 2013
for the 18z tafs...surface cold front will move through kguy and kdht around
18z this afternoon and then across kama around 21z today. Northwest to north
winds expected and will become gusty at times behind this boundary.
Some middle and high level clouds are anticipated on occasion. Overall...
VFR conditions are foreseen at all taf sites through 18z Saturday.
Previous discussion... /issued 539 am CST Friday Dec 13 2013/
12z taf cycle
an upper trough will track east across the panhandles today and then
usher in a cold front. The cold front will push through the Guymon
and Dalhart taf sites around 15z to 17z today...and then through the
Amarillo taf site around 19z to 21z today. VFR conditions will
prevail through 12z Saturday. Southwest to west winds ahead of the
cold front around 10 to 20 knots with some higher gusts will shift to
the northwest and north following the passage of the cold front 15 to
25 knots with some higher gusts.
Previous discussion... /issued 434 am CST Friday Dec 13 2013/
there remain a few areas of light sprinkles across the southern and
eastern portions of the Texas Panhandle this morning. These
sprinkles should diminish and move to the east over the next couple
of hours. Despite a cold front moving through the panhandles
today...high temperatures are expected to break into the 50s with
some locations across the southeastern Texas Panhandle possibly
reaching into the lower 60s. Surface winds prior to this cold front
will be from the south-southwest before turning to the north-
northwest behind the front. The colder Post frontal airmass will help
low temperatures drop back into the 20s Friday night into Saturday
High temperatures on Saturday will be about 5 to 10 degrees cooler
than those today but high temperatures will make a quick turn around
to be back into the 50s and 60s for Sunday through Thursday.
With the winter solstice next weekend...mother nature is getting
ready to bring the start of winter in with a blast...an Arctic blast.
There remains some discrepancies on exactly when this Arctic blast
will arrive this far out but you definitely don't want to put the
winter gear away yet.
neither elevated nor critical fire weather conditions are expected