Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion...updated
National Weather Service Amarillo Texas
1142 PM CST Wednesday Dec 11 2013
for the 06z tafs...VFR conditions expected through the taf period.
Southwesterly winds of generally less than 10 kts should continue
through late morning...before wind speeds are expected to increase to
near 15 to 20 kts during the afternoon. Wind speeds should again
decrease near sunset Thursday.
Previous discussion... /issued 532 PM CST Wednesday Dec 11 2013/
for the 00z tafs...VFR conditions expected at all taf sites through
the period. Winds are mostly light and variable becoming southerly at
all sites...with wind speeds remaining below 10 kts through about 18z
tomorrow. Wind speeds should increase to between 15 and 20 kts and
could be gusty during at times after 18z. A few high clouds may be
seen at times.
Previous discussion... /issued 212 PM CST Wednesday Dec 11 2013/
through tonight: you'll want to have the fire on and that cup of
Coffee or hot Cocoa on standby in the morning because it's going to
be cold with lows in the teens.
Thursday-Thursday night: temperatures will be warmer in most
locations as winds switch around to the southwest and become breezy.
Highs will top out in lower 40s in the southeast (due to cloud cover)
to lower 50s in the west. There's a small chance for some sprinkles
or freezing sprinkles to occur in the eastern panhandles after 4 am,
but due to the dry air in the low-levels, confidence is too low to
insert in the forecast. Even if freezing sprinkles occur, they won't
have any impact.
Friday-Friday night: some lingering sprinkles will be possible across
the far east in the morning hours, but otherwise, the rest of the
day will be dry. The next cold front will push across the area
during the day, so we've trended temperatures cooler in the north and
warmer in the south.
Saturday-wednesday: cool temperatures are expected in the wake of the
front Saturday, but temperatures will gradually trend upward
beginning Sunday. In fact, we may even see quite a few 60s on Monday.
Dry conditions look to prevail through this period with a dry
northwest flow aloft pattern in place.
Don't get used to the milder temperatures for too long. Looking
beyond this forecast period, there's a good chance we'll turn much
colder by late next week as another Arctic front will likely blast
across the area.
no elevated or critical fire weather conditions are expected through
Wednesday as either relative humidity values will remain above 20
percent and/or 20-foot winds remain below 15 miles per hour.