Scientific Forecaster Discussion
Area forecast discussion...updated
National Weather Service Amarillo Texas
638 am CDT Thursday Jul 24 2014
for the 12z tafs, VFR conditions are expected to continue.
Previous discussion... /issued 352 am CDT Thursday Jul 24 2014/
Discussion...today through next Thursday
Going forecast is in great shape and very few changes were made. The
upper air pattern will feature a strong upper high to start
transitioning to active northwest flow late in the weekend. Continued to
broad brush chance probability of precipitation through next week as northwest flow has been quite
wet this Summer around here.
The hot days: today through Sunday...
outside of isolated rain chances Friday night...today through
Saturday should be predominately dry. Have stuck close to cooler met
MOS guidance for the SW Texas Panhandle Sans the Palo Duro Canyon
floor, where very hot temperatures should be realized. Isolated
thunderstorms could begin to sneak in Sun afternoon as the upper ridge
begins to lose its hold.
The cooler and wetter days: Monday through next Thursday...
next week should hold predominately below normal temperatures and
off and on rain/thunder chances. We could sneak a hot day or 2 in
depending on storm timing, but think temperature readings primarily below
guidance will be noted. It is too tough at this time to pin down
exact timing of rain/storm clusters, but severe weather and flash
flooding could be possible from time to time.