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Area forecast discussion...updated 
National Weather Service Amarillo Texas
612 PM CDT sun may 24 2015

Aviation...
for the 00z tafs...isolated thunderstorms may develop just about anywhere in the
Texas and OK pnhdls this evening. However...due to the expected isolated
nature should any storms develop this evening...have decided to omit
mention of this weather element for this taf cycle. Isolated thunderstorms may
also form late Monday afternoon...and will also leave out of this
forecast for the same reason mentioned above. Otherwise...VFR conditions
are anticipated at all terminal sites through Monday afternoon.

Andrade

&&

Previous discussion... /issued 413 PM CDT sun may 24 2015/

Discussion...
dryline has edged into the far western part of the forecast area...and
is currently positioned near a line from Kenton to Hereford. Deep
and rich moisture remains in place east of the dryline...with
instability maximized along a northwest to southeast corridor from
southwest Kansas to the southeast Texas Panhandle. Expect isolated
thunderstorms this evening...with upper support from shortwave trough
currently over northeast New Mexico. Enough shear exists for
organized thunderstorms this evening...with large hail expected to be
the primary threat.

No changes of significance have been made to the earlier forecast. No
probability of precipitation above 20 percent through Wednesday. Higher probability of precipitation kept for
Wednesday night through Friday night as next longwave trough sets up
over western Continental U.S. And then traverses panhandles.

Cockrell

&&

Ama watches/warnings/advisories...
Texas...none.
OK...none.

&&

$$

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