Scientific Forecaster Discussion

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Northern Alaska forecast discussion 
National Weather Service Fairbanks Alaska
1242 PM akdt Thursday Apr 17 2014

Discussion...
models remain similar through the short term. Upper level low
over the central Aleutians will slowly drift to the east to be
located over Cold Bay Friday afternoon. A weak ridge will remain
in place over the Yukon through the weekend. A weak short wave
rotating north along the back side of the ridge will move into
southern Alaska Friday morning and continue north into the
interior Friday evening. Expect scattered rain and snow showers
this evening and Friday across the interior and decreasing clouds
Saturday.

Areas of fog and flurries and low ceilings noted across the North
Slope. A large area of stratus slowly moving south and east with
back edge just off the northwest coast. Eastern North Slope likely
to remain in fog and stratus through this evening.

In the middle term an upper level trough moves out of the eastern Bering
Sea Alaska Sunday evening and continues to move north and east to
into northwest Alaska Monday morning. The upper level trough will
continue to move northeast and will be centered over pabr Tuesday
morning.



&&

Fire weather...
min relative humidity values will drop into the 30s and 40s Friday and Saturday
for fire weather zones 223 and 225. No significant precipitation is
expected through the weekend. Remaining snow pack over the area
will continue to melt.

&&

Afg watches/warnings/advisories...
brisk Wind Advisory for pkz210.
&&

$$

Ccc Apr 14